Lactate to albumin ratio LAR predicts mortality in critically ill adults with asthma across two cohorts.
Wang Chenxi C, Chen Qin Q, Li Yajing Y, Zhang Li L
LAR, a composite biomarker reflecting metabolic stress and systemic inflammatory status, has demonstrated prognostic value across various critical illnesses. However, its clinical significance among critically ill adults with asthma diagnoses remains poorly defined. This study aimed to evaluate the association between LAR and mortality risk in ICU patients with asthma diagnoses and to develop and externally validate a LAR-based predictive model. We retrospectively analyzed 1,038 adult ICU patients with asthma diagnosis codes from the MIMIC-IV (v3.1) database (2008-2022) and 467 patients from the eICU-CRD for external validation. Asthma was identified using ICD diagnosis codes; therefore, the cohort represents critically ill patients with recorded asthma diagnoses rather than patients confirmed to have been admitted primarily for acute asthma exacerbation. LAR was calculated using admission laboratory values, with patients stratified by the median LAR (0.5385). Multivariable Cox regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS) analysis, and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed to assess mortality risks. Subgroup analyses were performed to evaluate consistency across clinical strata, adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, and clinical severity scores. In the discovery cohort, 28-day and 60-day mortality rates were 17.5% and 20.9%, respectively, with significantly higher rates observed in the high LAR group (P < 0.001). After multivariable adjustment in Cox models, each 1-unit increase in LAR was associated with 28-day (HR = 1.22, P = 0.002) and 60-day (HR = 1.16, P < 0.001) mortality. In the eICU-CRD validation cohort, where the available endpoint was ICU mortality, LAR was associated with ICU mortality in logistic regression (OR = 1.454, P = 0.012). Restricted cubic spline analysis did not provide evidence of a non-linear association between LAR and 28-day mortality. A gender interaction was identified for 28-day mortality (P interaction = 0.044), showing a stronger association in females. The final predictive model demonstrated good discrimination for ICU mortality in the eICU-CRD cohort, with an AUC of 0.809. Elevated LAR at ICU admission was associated with mortality in ICU patients with asthma diagnoses. The external eICU-CRD analysis supported the direction of this association for ICU mortality, although it used a different endpoint and modeling approach from the MIMIC-IV time-to-event analyses. These findings suggest that LAR may be an accessible risk-stratification marker, but prospective validation with harmonized mortality endpoints is required before clinical implementation.